Global computer shipments, including desktop and notebook versions, will increase by 3.3% in 2020 to 425.7 million, the International Data Corporation (IDC) forecasts. In the first half of the year there was a recovery in demand for them, which continues to exceed supplies, the research company said. This is due to self-isolation and the need to work and learn from home, as well as the use of gadgets for entertainment. However, if we look at the long term, PC sales in the world will decline. Within five years, the total annual average rate of decline (CAGR) in supplies is expected to be 2.2%, resulting in a decline to 389.6 million in 2024.
This includes a strong decline in sales (almost 10%) next year, a decline of less than 1% in 2022 and a weak increase in 2023-2024. Sales of desktop computers will decrease from 72.8 million in the current year to 66 million in 2024 (CAGR will be minus 2.4%). Notebook shipments – from 198.3 million units to 193.8 million units (minus 0.6%). At the same time, sales of workstations will increase from 5 million units to 7.1 million units in five years (CAGR will be plus 8.9%).